India seems to taking large strides on the pandemic front as the national Covid-19 recovery rate is 98%. The Union Ministry of Health has informed that India witnessed 18,132 new corona virus infections in the last 24 hours, the lowest in 215 days. This infection rate of the last 24 hours has taken the country’s total tally of cases to 3,39,71,607. This data has been revealed by the Union Health Ministry on Monday. With 193 fresh fatalities, the Covid-19 death toll climbed to 4,50,782, it added.
The Covid-19 active cases in the country have declined to 2,27,347, the lowest in 209 days, the Health Ministry said. The daily rise in new corona virus infections has been below 30,000 for 17 straight days and less than 50,000 daily new cases have been reported for 106 consecutive days now.
More milestones achieved as National Covid-19 recovery rate surges
India has achieved another milestone in Covid-19 vaccination. More than 95 crore vaccine doses have been administered so far in the country. India is set to reach 100 crore vaccination in the next few days.
Even as national Covid-19 recovery rate is 98%, Mumbai has another story to tell. The R-value (Reproduction number refers to how many people an infected person infects on an average) in Mumbai again surged above 1 during September end, which is a concern.
According to a calculation by researchers of the Chennai-based Institute of Mathematical Sciences, the R-value of Mumbai was 0.70 between August 10 and 13, then it increased to 0.95 between August 13 and 17, further rose to 1.09 between August 25 and September 18, and dropped to 0.95 between September 25 and 27. However, it again surged to 1.03 between September 28 and 30. The bigger the number than 1, the faster is the rate of spreading of the disease in the population. Even the R-value of Kolkata has been over 1 since August, according to the study. The R-value of Bengaluru is hovering near 1 since September; it was 1.05 between September 28 and October 1. These three metros (Mumbai, Kolkata, or Bengaluru) have R greater than 1 or very close to 1. Increasing R-value ahead of festivals is not a good sign for India’s Covid fight. Yet despite the odds, the good news is that national Covid-19 recovery rate surges a it hits 98%.
Will third wave come as guard drops?
The country has been reporting nearly 20,000 new Covid-19 cases for the past few days. This is irrespective of the fact that the national Covid-19 recovery rate is 98%. Most of the states and UTs have been witnessing a declining trend in daily Corona virus infections and Covid-19 deaths. The number of active cases in the country has been declining steadily. R-value above 1 in these three metros at this time may point towards the next wave.
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Another survey found masking and social distancing compliance in the country dropped to a new low as the festival season begins. According to the survey, only 13% of people rated mask compliance in their area and district as effective while just 6% termed social distancing norms as beneficial. Ahead of the festival season, governments and experts urged people to follow Covid-19 protocol during the celebration.